V-Lab
Xanadu Quantum Technologies Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
3,473.55
decreased by 309.31
1 Week
3,828.51
increased by 45.65
1 Month
3,692.11
decreased by 90.75
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 25, 2025 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.01 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0462 | 0.90 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9080 | 15.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0915 | 0.64 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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