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V-Lab

Xanadu Quantum Technologies Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026

1 Day

2,384.88

decreased by 384.23

1 Week

2,639.78

decreased by 129.33

1 Month

2,508.52

decreased by 260.59

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Xanadu Quantum Technologies Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 25, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3927
2.44**
αARCH0.2936
2.04**
βGARCH0.4802
2.28**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-22.1375
-2.62***
γ234.6291
2.84***
γ3-12.7774
-1.93*

0.774

Persistence

3d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3927
2.44**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2936
2.04**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4802
2.28**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-22.1375
-2.62***
γ234.6291
2.84***
γ3-12.7774
-1.93*

Persistence:

0.774

Half-life:

3 days