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Xanadu Quantum Technologies Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

3,495.26

decreased by 416.55

1 Week

2,785.01

decreased by 1,126.80

1 Month

2,146.96

decreased by 1,764.85

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 10:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Xanadu Quantum Technologies Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 25, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0574
2.21**
αARCH0.2648
2.09**
βGARCH0.5198
2.54**
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-39.1352
-3.78***
γ253.7410
3.73***
γ3-13.0678
-0.98
γ4-0.9429
-0.05

0.785

Persistence

3d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0574
2.21**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2648
2.09**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5198
2.54**
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-39.1352
-3.78***
γ253.7410
3.73***
γ3-13.0678
-0.98
γ4-0.9429
-0.05

Persistence:

0.785

Half-life:

3 days