V-Lab
Xanadu Quantum Technologies Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
2,384.88
decreased by 384.23
1 Week
2,639.78
decreased by 129.33
1 Month
2,508.52
decreased by 260.59
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 25, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.3927 | 2.44** |
| αARCH | 0.2936 | 2.04** |
| βGARCH | 0.4802 | 2.28** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -22.1375 | -2.62*** |
| γ2 | 34.6291 | 2.84*** |
| γ3 | -12.7774 | -1.93* |
0.774
Persistence3d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3927 | 2.44** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2936 | 2.04** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4802 | 2.28** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -22.1375 | -2.62*** |
| γ2 | 34.6291 | 2.84*** |
| γ3 | -12.7774 | -1.93* |
Persistence:
0.774
Half-life:
3 days
Other Xanadu Quantum Technologies Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities