Xanadu Quantum Technologies Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
3,495.26
decreased by 416.55
1 Week
2,785.01
decreased by 1,126.80
1 Month
2,146.96
decreased by 1,764.85
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 10:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 25, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0574 | 2.21** |
| αARCH | 0.2648 | 2.09** |
| βGARCH | 0.5198 | 2.54** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -39.1352 | -3.78*** |
| γ2 | 53.7410 | 3.73*** |
| γ3 | -13.0678 | -0.98 |
| γ4 | -0.9429 | -0.05 |
0.785
Persistence3d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0574 | 2.21** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2648 | 2.09** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5198 | 2.54** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | -39.1352 | -3.78*** |
| γ2 | 53.7410 | 3.73*** |
| γ3 | -13.0678 | -0.98 |
| γ4 | -0.9429 | -0.05 |
Persistence:
0.785
Half-life:
3 days
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