Xanadu Quantum Technologies Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
2,084.81
increased by 627.28
1 Week
1,600.58
increased by 143.05
1 Month
1,683.50
increased by 225.97
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 25, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.5208 | 2.50** |
| αARCH | 0.3012 | 2.16** |
| βGARCH | 0.4776 | 2.39** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -19.6391 | -2.41** |
| γ2 | 32.1358 | 2.63*** |
| γ3 | -16.3399 | -2.39** |
0.779
Persistence3d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5208 | 2.50** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3012 | 2.16** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4776 | 2.39** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -19.6391 | -2.41** |
| γ2 | 32.1358 | 2.63*** |
| γ3 | -16.3399 | -2.39** |
Persistence:
0.779
Half-life:
3 days
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