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Intel Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

3.25

decreased by 0.01

1 Week

3.17

decreased by 0.09

1 Month

3.07

decreased by 0.19

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Intel Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 222 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~222 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1188
8.64***
αARCH0.0724
6.07***
βGARCH0.9245
86.80***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0018
-1.26

0.997

Persistence

222d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1188
8.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0724
6.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9245
86.80***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0018
-1.26

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

222 days