V-Lab
Intel Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
3.12
increased by 0.07
1 Week
3.06
increased by 0.01
1 Month
3.36
increased by 0.31
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 224 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1180 | 8.68*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0724 | 6.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9245 | 86.83*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0018 | -1.23 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
224 days
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