V-Lab
Intel Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
3.81
1 Week
3.99
1 Month
3.88
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 86 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0731 | 13.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9220 | 253.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0062 | -0.90 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0010 | 4.82*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.05 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9997 | 4,443.01*** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
86 days
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