V-Lab
Intel Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
3.29
1 Week
3.24
1 Month
3.53
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 98 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0730 | 7.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9223 | 102.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0048 | -0.64 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0002 | 0.08 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9997 | 172.79*** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
98 days
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