Applied Materials Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
8.60
1 Week
8.16
1 Month
8.08
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0816 | 9.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9196 | 836.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0816 | -1.94* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0022 | 13.88*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.25 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9975 |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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