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Applied Materials Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

9.61

decreased by 0.57

1 Week

10.21

increased by 0.03

1 Month

9.33

decreased by 0.85

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Applied Materials Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2123 trading days (~8.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0806
16.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9202
742.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0023
-0.29
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.03
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9997
3,134.00***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2123 days