Procter & Gamble Co/The ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
11.40
1 Week
11.39
1 Month
10.39
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0540 | 1.23 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8798 | 23.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0540 | -0.44 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0160 | 5.23*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0549 | 2.12** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9433 | 12.94*** |
Persistence:
0.907
Half-life:
7 days
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