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Procter & Gamble Co/The ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
8.88
1 Week
9.09
1 Month
9.51
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0531 | 1.25 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8822 | 23.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0531 | -0.45 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0149 | 5.11*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0519 | 2.15** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9464 | 13.93*** |
Persistence:
0.909
Half-life:
7 days
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