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Procter & Gamble Co/The ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
7.83
1 Week
7.86
1 Month
8.34
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 10:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0533 | 10.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8826 | 69.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0533 | -2.09** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0140 | 1.94* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0506 | 3.89*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9477 | 72.37*** |
Persistence:
0.909
Half-life:
7 days
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