Procter & Gamble Co/The ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026
1 Day
7.81
1 Week
7.93
1 Month
7.76
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 46 | |
| αARCH | 0.0531 | 10.35*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8839 | 70.85*** |
| γleverage | -0.0531 | -2.08** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0134 | 1.92* |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0492 | 3.89*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9491 | 74.58*** |
0.910
Persistence7d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0531 | 10.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8839 | 70.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0531 | -2.08** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0134 | 1.92* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0492 | 3.89*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9491 | 74.58*** |
Persistence:
0.910
Half-life:
7 days
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