V-Lab
Wal-Mart Stores Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
4.36
1 Week
4.50
1 Month
4.99
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 153% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0517 | 1.22 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8689 | 14.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0793 | 2.72*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0149 | 1.65* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0258 | 7.50*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9732 | 40.97*** |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
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