McDonald's Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
11.09
1 Week
10.73
1 Month
10.23
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0540 | 1.98** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8938 | 34.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0540 | -0.65 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0062 | 2.75*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0179 | 5.91*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9812 | 115.98*** |
Persistence:
0.921
Half-life:
8 days
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