V-Lab
McDonald's Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
8.54
1 Week
9.20
1 Month
9.44
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0535 | 1.98** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8944 | 34.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0535 | -0.65 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0058 | 2.78*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0178 | 5.89*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9814 | 117.46*** |
Persistence:
0.921
Half-life:
8 days
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