V-Lab
McDonald's Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
7.63
decreased by 0.25
1 Week
7.97
increased by 0.09
1 Month
8.56
increased by 0.68
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 800 trading days (~3.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~800 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0376 | 10.49*** |
| αARCH | 0.0438 | 12.37*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9553 | 275.87*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0014 | -1.09 |
0.999
Persistence800d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0376 | 10.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0438 | 12.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9553 | 275.87*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0014 | -1.09 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
800 days
Other McDonald's Corp Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities