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McDonald's Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

10.24

decreased by 0.02

1 Week

10.24

decreased by 0.02

1 Month

9.65

decreased by 0.61

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of McDonald's Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 828 trading days (~3.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0374
10.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0440
12.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9551
274.39***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0012
-0.87

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

828 days