V-Lab
McDonald's Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
8.76
increased by 0.21
1 Week
8.88
increased by 0.33
1 Month
9.33
increased by 0.78
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 803 trading days (~3.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0392 | 10.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0439 | 12.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9553 | 275.45*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0012 | -0.91 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
803 days
Other McDonald's Corp Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities