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McDonald's Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

8.76

increased by 0.21

1 Week

8.88

increased by 0.33

1 Month

9.33

increased by 0.78

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of McDonald's Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 803 trading days (~3.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0392
10.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0439
12.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9553
275.45***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0012
-0.91

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

803 days