PepsiCo Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
10.24
decreased by 0.07
1 Week
10.40
increased by 0.09
1 Month
9.65
decreased by 0.66
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 388 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9933 | 11.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0456 | 12.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9526 | 259.78*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0020 | -2.37** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
388 days
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