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PepsiCo Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026

1 Day

7.15

decreased by 0.16

1 Week

7.13

decreased by 0.18

1 Month

7.39

increased by 0.08

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/13/2024

to

10/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PepsiCo Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 375 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~375 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9939
11.57***
αARCH0.0455
12.57***
βGARCH0.9526
260.63***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0021
-2.65***

0.998

Persistence

375d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9939
11.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0455
12.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9526
260.63***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0021
-2.65***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

375 days