V-Lab
PepsiCo Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
10.63
decreased by 0.32
1 Week
10.70
decreased by 0.25
1 Month
10.00
decreased by 0.95
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 390 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9926 | 11.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0453 | 12.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9529 | 260.56*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0019 | -2.33** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
390 days
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