V-Lab
PepsiCo Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
8.33
decreased by 0.28
1 Week
8.69
increased by 0.08
1 Month
9.42
increased by 0.81
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 378 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~378 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9935 | 11.57*** |
| αARCH | 0.0454 | 12.53*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9527 | 260.31*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0021 | -2.57** |
0.998
Persistence378d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9935 | 11.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0454 | 12.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9527 | 260.31*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0021 | -2.57** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
378 days
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