V-Lab
PepsiCo Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
9.92
increased by 0.08
1 Week
9.78
decreased by 0.06
1 Month
9.72
decreased by 0.12
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 384 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9932 | 11.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0454 | 12.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9528 | 260.61*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0020 | -2.45** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
384 days
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