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Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

2,302.70

decreased by 473.42

1 Week

3,166.73

increased by 390.61

1 Month

6,149.17

increased by 3,373.05

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 09:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 16, 2012 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 276 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4191
3.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2046
17.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7929
70.05***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0001
0.02

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

276 days