V-Lab
Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
9,377.52
decreased by 584.29
1 Week
10,092.42
increased by 130.61
1 Month
8,249.21
decreased by 1,712.60
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 16, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 280 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4159 | 3.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2028 | 17.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7947 | 70.60*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0026 | 0.29 |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
280 days
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