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Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

5,250.04

decreased by 1,370.64

1 Week

7,373.34

increased by 752.66

1 Month

6,881.20

increased by 260.52

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 7, 2012 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~693147 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst6.9648
αARCH0.2845
βGARCH0.7155
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.1096
γ2-0.2607
γ30.2144
γ40.0164

1.000

Persistence

693147d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

6.9648
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2845
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7155
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.1096
γ2-0.2607
γ30.2144
γ40.0164

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days