V-Lab
Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
2,302.70
decreased by 473.42
1 Week
3,166.73
increased by 390.61
1 Month
6,149.17
increased by 3,373.05
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 09:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 16, 2012 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 276 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4191 | 3.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2046 | 17.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7929 | 70.05*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0001 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
276 days
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