V-Lab
AT&T Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
11.28
decreased by 0.27
1 Week
11.10
decreased by 0.45
1 Month
10.85
decreased by 0.70
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 11:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 739 trading days (~2.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0112 | 10.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0454 | 12.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9537 | 263.52*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0002 | -0.13 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
739 days
Other AT&T Inc Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities