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V-Lab

AT&T Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

11.28

decreased by 0.27

1 Week

11.10

decreased by 0.45

1 Month

10.85

decreased by 0.70

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 11:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AT&T Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 739 trading days (~2.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0112
10.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0454
12.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9537
263.52***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0002
-0.13

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

739 days