V-Lab
Genesis Healthcare Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026
1 Day
12,672,170,000,000.00
decreased by 4,154,110,000,000.00
1 Week
18,680,963,333,333.33
increased by 1,854,683,333,333.33
1 Month
218,613,556,923,076.90
increased by 201,787,276,923,076.90
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 15, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 346573 trading days (~1375.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0370 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3107 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6893 |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | -9.8077 | |
| γ2 | 15.4360 | |
| γ3 | -1.2203 | |
| γ4 | -2.4517 | |
| γ5 | -5.7267 | |
| γ6 | 21.9890 | |
| γ7 | -39.5394 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
346573 days
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