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Genesis Healthcare Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

733,050,300,000,000.00

decreased by 259,824,600,000,000.00

1 Week

862,962,600,000,000.00

decreased by 129,912,300,000,000.00

1 Month

1,698,672,988,888,889.00

increased by 705,798,088,888,889.00

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 09:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Genesis Healthcare Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2007 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~693147 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0471
αARCH0.2903
βGARCH0.7097
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-9.2443
γ214.8670
γ3-2.3378
γ42.3997
γ5-14.9662
γ628.4782
γ7-38.5625

1.000

Persistence

693147d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0471
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2903
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7097
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-9.2443
γ214.8670
γ3-2.3378
γ42.3997
γ5-14.9662
γ628.4782
γ7-38.5625

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days