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Genesis Healthcare Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

12,672,170,000,000.00

decreased by 4,154,110,000,000.00

1 Week

18,680,963,333,333.33

increased by 1,854,683,333,333.33

1 Month

218,613,556,923,076.90

increased by 201,787,276,923,076.90

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Genesis Healthcare Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 346573 trading days (~1375.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0370
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3107
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6893
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-9.8077
γ215.4360
γ3-1.2203
γ4-2.4517
γ5-5.7267
γ621.9890
γ7-39.5394

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

346573 days