Genesis Healthcare Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026
1 Day
7,816,816,000,000,000.00
1 Week
7,816,816,000,000,000.00
1 Month
9,248,533,000,000,000.00
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 15, 2007 to Oct 14, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1376 | |
| αARCH | 0.2723 | |
| βGARCH | 0.7277 |
| γ1 | -6.7096 | |
| γ2 | 9.1864 | |
| γ3 | -2.6394 | |
| γ4 | 3.1174 | |
| γ5 | -0.0541 | |
| γ6 | 8.8830 | |
| γ7 | -15.2301 |
1.000
Persistence-
Half-lifeILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1376 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2723 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7277 |
| γ1 | -6.7096 | |
| γ2 | 9.1864 | |
| γ3 | -2.6394 | |
| γ4 | 3.1174 | |
| γ5 | -0.0541 | |
| γ6 | 8.8830 | |
| γ7 | -15.2301 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
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