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Genesis Healthcare Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

7,816,816,000,000,000.00

decreased by 2,925,054,000,000,000.00

1 Week

7,816,816,000,000,000.00

decreased by 2,925,054,000,000,000.00

1 Month

9,248,533,000,000,000.00

decreased by 1,493,337,000,000,000.00

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Genesis Healthcare Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 15, 2007 to Oct 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1376
αARCH0.2723
βGARCH0.7277
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-6.7096
γ29.1864
γ3-2.6394
γ43.1174
γ5-0.0541
γ68.8830
γ7-15.2301

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1376
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2723
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7277
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-6.7096
γ29.1864
γ3-2.6394
γ43.1174
γ5-0.0541
γ68.8830
γ7-15.2301

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-