Genesis Healthcare Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026
1 Day
1,206,690,000,000,000.00
1 Week
1,206,690,000,000,000.00
1 Month
1,142,523,816,666,666.80
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 09:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 15, 2007 to Oct 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5975 trading days (~23.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.0150 | 0.49 |
| βGARCH | 0.9924 | 161.39*** |
| γleverage | -0.0150 | -0.22 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 24,400,999,765,659.1900 |
1.000
Persistence5975d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0150 | 0.49 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9924 | 161.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0150 | -0.22 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 24,400,999,765,659.1900 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
5975 days
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