V-Lab
Genesis Healthcare Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026
1 Day
1,282,780,000,000,000.00
1 Week
1,108,425,333,333,333.50
1 Month
1,070,599,000,000,000.00
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 09:14 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 15, 2007 to Sep 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5545 trading days (~22.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.0148 | 0.49 |
| βGARCH | 0.9925 | 163.16*** |
| γleverage | -0.0148 | -0.21 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 21,898,616,133,135.6370 |
1.000
Persistence5545d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0148 | 0.49 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9925 | 163.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0148 | -0.21 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 21,898,616,133,135.6370 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
5545 days
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