V-Lab
Genesis Healthcare Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
1,895,955,000,000,000.00
1 Week
1,974,326,800,000,000.00
1 Month
2,009,958,533,333,333.00
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 09:10 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 15, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9801 | 2.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0397 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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