Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026
1 Day
21.55
decreased by 0.57
1 Week
22.17
increased by 0.05
1 Month
21.19
decreased by 0.93
Analysis last updated: Monday, November 2, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3736 trading days (~14.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 101% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3736 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 101% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0396 | 1.35 |
| αARCH | 0.0297 | 6.16*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9552 | 291.58*** |
| γleverage | 0.0298 | 3.47*** |
1.000
Persistence3736d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0396 | 1.35 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0297 | 6.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9552 | 291.58*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0298 | 3.47*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3736 days
Other Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities