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Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

19.58

increased by 0.39

1 Week

19.70

increased by 0.51

1 Month

20.76

increased by 1.57

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 12, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/12/2024

to

10/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bristol-Myers Squibb Co ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3757 trading days (~14.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 99% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3757 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 99% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0391
1.34
αARCH0.0300
6.20***
βGARCH0.9550
290.08***
γleverage0.0296
3.43***

1.000

Persistence

3757d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0391
1.34
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0300
6.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9550
290.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0296
3.43***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3757 days