V-Lab
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
21.96
increased by 1.75
1 Week
21.28
increased by 1.07
1 Month
23.42
increased by 3.21
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 4041 trading days (~16.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 102% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0399 | 5.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0297 | 24.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9550 | 1,158.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0303 | 14.04*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
4041 days
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