Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
29.15
increased by 0.02
1 Week
29.64
increased by 0.51
1 Month
27.63
decreased by 1.50
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 4201 trading days (~16.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 100% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0417 | 5.66*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0303 | 24.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9545 | 1,148.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0302 | 13.91*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
4201 days
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