V-Lab
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
23.73
increased by 2.78
1 Week
21.96
increased by 1.01
1 Month
22.40
increased by 1.45
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3905 trading days (~15.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 101% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0404 | 1.38 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0298 | 6.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9550 | 290.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0301 | 3.49*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3905 days
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