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Intel Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

3.88

decreased by 0.25

1 Week

4.05

decreased by 0.08

1 Month

4.31

increased by 0.18

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Intel Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 9694 trading days (~38.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 111% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0461
7.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0470
15.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9268
330.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0522
16.08***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

9694 days