V-Lab
Intel Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
3.50
1 Week
3.62
1 Month
3.84
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 09:33 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 109% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0432 | 1.89* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0473 | 3.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9269 | 82.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0516 | 3.99*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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