V-Lab
Intel Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
3.88
1 Week
4.05
1 Month
4.31
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 9694 trading days (~38.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 111% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0461 | 7.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0470 | 15.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9268 | 330.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0522 | 16.08*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
9694 days
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