V-Lab
PepsiCo Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
10.41
decreased by 0.08
1 Week
10.09
decreased by 0.40
1 Month
10.05
decreased by 0.44
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1321 trading days (~5.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 102% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0338 | 1.45 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0303 | 6.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9538 | 280.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0308 | 3.27*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1321 days
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