PepsiCo Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
12.32
increased by 0.11
1 Week
11.97
decreased by 0.24
1 Month
11.22
decreased by 0.99
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1273 trading days (~5.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 103% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0333 | 5.95*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0302 | 24.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9537 | 1,118.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0311 | 13.18*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1273 days
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