V-Lab
PepsiCo Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
8.99
increased by 0.23
1 Week
8.83
increased by 0.07
1 Month
9.64
increased by 0.88
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1406 trading days (~5.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 100% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1406 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 100% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0324 | 1.39 |
| αARCH | 0.0306 | 6.29*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9536 | 279.82*** |
| γleverage | 0.0305 | 3.23*** |
1.000
Persistence1406d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0324 | 1.39 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0306 | 6.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9536 | 279.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0305 | 3.23*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1406 days
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