V-Lab
PepsiCo Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
9.74
decreased by 0.21
1 Week
10.23
increased by 0.28
1 Month
11.02
increased by 1.07
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1346 trading days (~5.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 101% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0334 | 5.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0304 | 25.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9537 | 1,118.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0308 | 13.05*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1346 days
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