HP Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
55.87
increased by 6.62
1 Week
52.28
increased by 3.03
1 Month
56.44
increased by 7.19
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 383 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 198% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3229 | 9.68*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0272 | 19.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9441 | 949.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0539 | 22.11*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
383 days
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