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HP Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

58.78

decreased by 0.83

1 Week

56.48

decreased by 3.13

1 Month

55.72

decreased by 3.89

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of HP Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 382 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 198% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3237
9.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0271
19.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9441
949.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0538
22.11***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

382 days