HP Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
58.78
decreased by 0.83
1 Week
56.48
decreased by 3.13
1 Month
55.72
decreased by 3.89
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 382 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 198% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3237 | 9.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0271 | 19.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9441 | 949.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0538 | 22.11*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
382 days
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