Skip to main content
V-Lab

HP Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

68.98

increased by 1.32

1 Week

68.81

increased by 1.15

1 Month

61.50

decreased by 6.16

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of HP Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 347 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0467
9.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0661
14.65***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9319
207.64***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0003
-0.32

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

347 days