Coca-Cola Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
6.01
decreased by 0.10
1 Week
6.03
decreased by 0.08
1 Month
5.82
decreased by 0.29
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 411 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~411 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0523 | 9.88*** |
| αARCH | 0.0387 | 11.76*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9596 | 286.54*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0018 | -2.20** |
0.998
Persistence411d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0523 | 9.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0387 | 11.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9596 | 286.54*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0018 | -2.20** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
411 days
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