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Pasqal Holding SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

20,924.55

increased by 60.67

1 Week

17,315.53

decreased by 3,548.35

1 Month

8,486.73

decreased by 12,377.15

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 03:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Pasqal Holding SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1242 trading days (~4.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0147
0.04
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9994
0.21
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-2,575.5779
-0.18
γ23,404.5276
0.74
γ3-1,114.6883
-0.42
γ4450.3828
0.23
γ5-88.9313
-0.07
γ6-257.5428
-0.28
γ7427.7420
0.56

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1242 days