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Pasqal Holding SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

5,927.07

unchanged at 0.00

1 Week

6,300.09

increased by 373.02

1 Month

8,383.36

increased by 2,456.29

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 12:41 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Pasqal Holding SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0301
2.91***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9029
4.78***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-969.0099
-3.38***
γ21,214.3362
2.66***
γ3-205.1192
-0.83
γ4-27.3682
-0.22
γ5-24.0896
-0.27
γ6-43.7614
-0.42

0.903

Persistence

7d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0301
2.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9029
4.78***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-969.0099
-3.38***
γ21,214.3362
2.66***
γ3-205.1192
-0.83
γ4-27.3682
-0.22
γ5-24.0896
-0.27
γ6-43.7614
-0.42

Persistence:

0.903

Half-life:

7 days