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Pasqal Holding SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

15,267.15

increased by 43.25

1 Week

14,540.41

decreased by 683.49

1 Month

11,491.74

decreased by 3,732.16

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Pasqal Holding SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1191 trading days (~4.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1191 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0154
0.06
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9994
0.32
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-2,234.5874
-0.24
γ23,058.9606
0.92
γ3-1,184.0932
-0.64
γ4628.8650
0.51
γ5-358.4136
-0.45
γ695.0084
0.17
γ718.0357
0.04

0.999

Persistence

1191d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0154
0.06
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9994
0.32
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-2,234.5874
-0.24
γ23,058.9606
0.92
γ3-1,184.0932
-0.64
γ4628.8650
0.51
γ5-358.4136
-0.45
γ695.0084
0.17
γ718.0357
0.04

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1191 days