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Pasqal Holding SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

21,269.62

increased by 38.11

1 Week

20,154.88

decreased by 1,076.63

1 Month

15,359.98

decreased by 5,871.53

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Pasqal Holding SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2026 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2166 trading days (~8.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~2166 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0242
0.05
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9997
0.26
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-1,481.1162
-0.27
γ21,968.3197
1.27
γ3-657.4121
-0.78
γ4335.3756
0.43
γ5-244.5614
-0.47
γ685.9901
0.18
γ724.1655
0.08

1.000

Persistence

2166d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0242
0.05
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9997
0.26
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-1,481.1162
-0.27
γ21,968.3197
1.27
γ3-657.4121
-0.78
γ4335.3756
0.43
γ5-244.5614
-0.47
γ685.9901
0.18
γ724.1655
0.08

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2166 days