V-Lab
Realpha Tech Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
435,408.20
1 Week
493,011.10
1 Month
532,662.60
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2023 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.01 |
| αARCH | 0.2221 | 4.63*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7469 | 29.12*** |
| γleverage | 0.0620 | 0.68 |
1.000
Persistence-
Half-lifeILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.01 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2221 | 4.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7469 | 29.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0620 | 0.68 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
-
Other Realpha Tech Corp Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities