V-Lab
Realpha Tech Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
434,806.00
1 Week
592,179.98
1 Month
816,472.54
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2956 | 3.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7378 | 85.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2956 | -2.35** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 5.15*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9873 | 270.58*** |
Persistence:
0.886
Half-life:
6 days
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