V-Lab
ExxonMobil Holdings Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
6.26
1 Week
5.89
1 Month
5.87
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0453 | 1.13 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8970 | 15.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0453 | -0.37 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0071 | 2.11** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0269 | 2.95*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9720 | 30.53*** |
Persistence:
0.920
Half-life:
8 days
Other ExxonMobil Holdings Corp Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on Equities