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ExxonMobil Holdings Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

5.61

decreased by 0.17

1 Week

5.74

decreased by 0.04

1 Month

5.91

increased by 0.13

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ExxonMobil Holdings Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 659 trading days (~2.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0025
9.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0367
12.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9622
313.33***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0003
-0.31

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

659 days