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ExxonMobil Holdings Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 12th, 2026

1 Day

5.47

increased by 0.03

1 Week

5.63

increased by 0.19

1 Month

5.42

decreased by 0.02

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 10:48 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/11/2024

to

11/11/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ExxonMobil Holdings Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 657 trading days (~2.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~657 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0024
9.06***
αARCH0.0365
12.08***
βGARCH0.9624
314.93***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0003
-0.29

0.999

Persistence

657d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0024
9.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0365
12.08***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9624
314.93***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0003
-0.29

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

657 days