Chevron Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
8.63
1 Week
8.70
1 Month
8.36
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0422 | 2.14** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9092 | 292.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0422 | -0.82 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0604 | 2.74*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2647 | 11.79*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7290 | 5.44*** |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
Other Chevron Corp Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on Equities