V-Lab
Chevron Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
9.38
1 Week
9.04
1 Month
8.41
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0421 | 2.15** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9099 | 289.41*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0421 | -0.83 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0612 | 2.74*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2638 | 12.34*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7301 | 5.45*** |
Persistence:
0.931
Half-life:
10 days
Other Chevron Corp Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on Equities