V-Lab
Chevron Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
7.46
decreased by 0.11
1 Week
7.72
increased by 0.15
1 Month
8.32
increased by 0.75
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 09:46 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2026 trading days (~8.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 220% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0286 | 1.73* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0175 | 4.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9629 | 324.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0386 | 6.78*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2026 days
Other Chevron Corp Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities