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Chevron Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

9.10

decreased by 0.13

1 Week

9.09

decreased by 0.14

1 Month

8.16

decreased by 1.07

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chevron Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1920 trading days (~7.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 217% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0294
7.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0177
19.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9627
1,285.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0385
26.89***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1920 days