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Chevron Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

7.46

decreased by 0.11

1 Week

7.72

increased by 0.15

1 Month

8.32

increased by 0.75

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 09:46 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chevron Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2026 trading days (~8.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 220% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0286
1.73*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0175
4.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9629
324.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0386
6.78***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2026 days