V-Lab
Monolithic Power Systems Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
28.22
1 Week
27.00
1 Month
27.48
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2004 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 93% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2177 | 1.52 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0542 | 6.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9206 | 165.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0504 | 4.61*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
Other Monolithic Power Systems Inc Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities