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Monolithic Power Systems Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

24.96

increased by 0.26

1 Week

26.38

increased by 1.68

1 Month

28.20

increased by 3.50

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Monolithic Power Systems Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 93% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2181
6.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0543
27.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9204
659.32***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0506
18.43***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days