V-Lab
Monolithic Power Systems Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
24.96
1 Week
26.38
1 Month
28.20
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 93% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2181 | 6.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0543 | 27.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9204 | 659.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0506 | 18.43*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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