V-Lab
Monolithic Power Systems Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
23.59
1 Week
23.88
1 Month
26.00
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0840 | 2.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8834 | 66.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0840 | -0.81 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0020 | 0.97 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0519 | 2.29** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9464 | 21.94*** |
Persistence:
0.925
Half-life:
9 days
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