V-Lab
Monolithic Power Systems Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
22.98
increased by 1.36
1 Week
23.32
increased by 1.70
1 Month
25.31
increased by 3.69
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 77016 trading days (~305.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0049 | 6.13*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0876 | 13.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9124 | 143.05*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0040 | 0.16 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
77016 days
Other Monolithic Power Systems Inc Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities