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Monolithic Power Systems Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

25.19

decreased by 0.50

1 Week

24.45

decreased by 1.24

1 Month

23.87

decreased by 1.82

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 12:30 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Monolithic Power Systems Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2004 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 74 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~74 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2345
8.28***
αARCH0.0899
12.48***
βGARCH0.9008
116.39***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0079
-4.54***

0.991

Persistence

74d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2345
8.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0899
12.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9008
116.39***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0079
-4.54***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

74 days