V-Lab
Alphabet Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
1.86
1 Week
1.88
1 Month
1.67
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 19, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0400 | 2.50** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9204 | 198.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0079 | 0.18 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0375 | 3.34*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3120 | 12.37*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6820 | 4.25*** |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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