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Alphabet Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

1.80

decreased by 0.05

1 Week

1.85

increased by 0.00

1 Month

1.95

increased by 0.10

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Alphabet Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 19, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 550 trading days (~2.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0185
8.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0151
10.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9502
857.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0670
20.13***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

550 days