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Alphabet Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

2.14

decreased by 0.09

1 Week

2.07

decreased by 0.16

1 Month

1.76

decreased by 0.47

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Alphabet Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 19, 2004 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 480 trading days (~1.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0195
8.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0148
10.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9500
850.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0677
20.23***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

480 days