Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Alphabet Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

2.10

decreased by 0.03

1 Week

2.04

decreased by 0.09

1 Month

1.70

decreased by 0.43

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 02:38 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Alphabet Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 19, 2004 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 785 trading days (~3.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~785 daysAsymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0162
1.94*
αARCH0.0161
2.82***
βGARCH0.9501
216.53***
γleverage0.0659
4.95***

0.999

Persistence

785d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0162
1.94*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0161
2.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9501
216.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0659
4.95***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

785 days