V-Lab
General Electric Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
12.06
increased by 0.81
1 Week
10.99
decreased by 0.26
1 Month
10.48
decreased by 0.77
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2041 trading days (~8.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 270% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0365 | 4.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0181 | 16.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9571 | 1,217.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0489 | 25.06*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2041 days
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