V-Lab
General Electric Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2026
1 Day
12.36
decreased by 0.26
1 Week
13.15
increased by 0.53
1 Month
13.64
increased by 1.02
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 21, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2100 trading days (~8.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 269% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~2100 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 269% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0353 | 1.17 |
| αARCH | 0.0181 | 4.17*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9574 | 306.94*** |
| γleverage | 0.0485 | 6.25*** |
1.000
Persistence2100d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0353 | 1.17 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0181 | 4.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9574 | 306.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0485 | 6.25*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2100 days
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