General Electric Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026
1 Day
10.38
decreased by 0.39
1 Week
10.89
increased by 0.12
1 Month
11.59
increased by 0.82
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 12, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2225 trading days (~8.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 263% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~2225 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 263% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0341 | 1.13 |
| αARCH | 0.0184 | 4.23*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9572 | 306.31*** |
| γleverage | 0.0483 | 6.20*** |
1.000
Persistence2225d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0341 | 1.13 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0184 | 4.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9572 | 306.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0483 | 6.20*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2225 days
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