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General Electric Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

9.91

decreased by 0.48

1 Week

9.91

decreased by 0.48

1 Month

11.54

increased by 1.15

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC

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graph of General Electric Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 656 trading days (~2.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~656 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0407
7.00***
αARCH0.0518
14.43***
βGARCH0.9471
263.68***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0013
-1.09

0.999

Persistence

656d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0407
7.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0518
14.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9471
263.68***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0013
-1.09

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

656 days