V-Lab
General Electric Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
12.35
increased by 0.50
1 Week
11.44
decreased by 0.41
1 Month
10.07
decreased by 1.78
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 657 trading days (~2.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0409 | 7.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0517 | 14.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9473 | 263.71*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0012 | -1.00 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
657 days
Other General Electric Co Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities