General Electric Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 12th, 2026
1 Day
12.35
increased by 0.01
1 Week
12.18
decreased by 0.16
1 Month
9.71
decreased by 2.63
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 644 trading days (~2.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~644 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0418 | 7.00*** |
| αARCH | 0.0519 | 14.47*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9470 | 263.41*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0012 | -1.03 |
0.999
Persistence644d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0418 | 7.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0519 | 14.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9470 | 263.41*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0012 | -1.03 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
644 days
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