V-Lab
General Electric Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
13.50
increased by 0.39
1 Week
12.98
decreased by 0.13
1 Month
11.92
decreased by 1.19
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 649 trading days (~2.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0419 | 7.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0518 | 14.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9471 | 263.38*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0011 | -0.95 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
649 days
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