V-Lab
Wal-Mart Stores Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
4.85
decreased by 0.08
1 Week
5.03
increased by 0.10
1 Month
5.38
increased by 0.45
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 769 trading days (~3.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 117% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0225 | 8.18*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0221 | 21.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9641 | 1,338.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0258 | 15.24*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
769 days
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