V-Lab
Wal-Mart Stores Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
4.83
decreased by 0.04
1 Week
4.88
increased by 0.01
1 Month
4.93
increased by 0.06
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 09:41 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 790 trading days (~3.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 116% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0219 | 2.00** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0223 | 5.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9640 | 334.73*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0257 | 3.79*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
790 days
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