V-Lab
Xanadu Quantum Technologies Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026
1 Day
2,423.46
1 Week
2,418.59
1 Month
2,769.75
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 25, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 31 | |
| αARCH | 0.1720 | 17.46*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8164 | 224.40*** |
| γleverage | -0.1720 | -14.26*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 0.09 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.9801 | 11.17*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.902
Persistence7d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1720 | 17.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8164 | 224.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1720 | -14.26*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.09 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9801 | 11.17*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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