LQR House Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
180,336.70
1 Week
167,895.74
1 Month
274,720.47
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 10, 2023 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.6292 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.07 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0098 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0241 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.624
Half-life:
1 days
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