V-Lab
NVIDIA Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
0.70
unchanged at 0.00
1 Week
0.72
increased by 0.02
1 Month
0.72
increased by 0.02
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 22, 1999 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99021 trading days (~392.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~99021 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0659 | 7.45*** |
| αARCH | 0.0925 | 14.30*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9075 | 140.64*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0091 | 0.65 |
1.000
Persistence99021d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0659 | 7.45*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0925 | 14.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9075 | 140.64*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0091 | 0.65 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
99021 days
Other NVIDIA Corp Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities