Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

NVIDIA Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

0.60

decreased by 0.01

1 Week

0.58

decreased by 0.03

1 Month

0.56

decreased by 0.05

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NVIDIA Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 22, 1999 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 145 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~145 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0906
7.50***
αARCH0.0925
15.76***
βGARCH0.9028
146.96***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.0050
0.26
γ2-0.0163
-0.55
γ3-0.0043
-0.20
γ40.0345
1.09

0.995

Persistence

145d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0906
7.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0925
15.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9028
146.96***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.0050
0.26
γ2-0.0163
-0.55
γ3-0.0043
-0.20
γ40.0345
1.09

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

145 days