V-Lab
NVIDIA Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
0.76
1 Week
0.72
1 Month
0.66
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 22, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0819 | 4.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9043 | 383.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0649 | -1.68* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4376 | 25.67*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5514 | 4.49*** |
Persistence:
0.954
Half-life:
15 days
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