V-Lab
NVIDIA Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
0.64
1 Week
0.68
1 Month
0.74
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 22, 1999 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0818 | 4.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9047 | 368.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0737 | -1.90* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4560 | 24.42*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5325 | 4.12*** |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
13 days
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