NVIDIA Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026
1 Day
0.59
1 Week
0.57
1 Month
0.61
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 11:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 22, 1999 to Jul 2, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0819 | 4.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9042 | 380.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0651 | -1.68* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4394 | 25.54*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5494 | 4.45*** |
Persistence:
0.954
Half-life:
15 days
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