V-Lab
Cloudflare Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
42.28
increased by 1.91
1 Week
42.45
increased by 2.08
1 Month
33.49
decreased by 6.88
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 10:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 13, 2019 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 86 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7265 | 2.11** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0186 | 1.42 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9239 | 100.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0988 | 3.52*** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
86 days
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