Cloudflare Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
32.87
increased by 1.23
1 Week
32.46
increased by 0.82
1 Month
34.60
increased by 2.96
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 13, 2019 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 82 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7730 | 8.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0176 | 5.33*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9240 | 399.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0998 | 14.18*** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
82 days
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