Cloudflare Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
30.30
1 Week
31.70
1 Month
33.79
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 13, 2019 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 51 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 51 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0357 | 3.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8968 | 26.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1080 | 1.23 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.33 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4472 | 2.84*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5239 | 1.35 |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
51 days
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