How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	26
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0376	8.19***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8978	84.77***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1026	9.94***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	2.21**
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.4435	6.39***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.5268	6.95***

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