V-Lab
Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
8.64
decreased by 0.23
1 Week
9.35
increased by 0.48
1 Month
9.32
increased by 0.45
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 1999 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 236 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1174 | 8.46*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0553 | 12.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9417 | 204.81*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0012 | -0.96 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
236 days
Other Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities