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Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

10.51

increased by 0.02

1 Week

10.41

decreased by 0.08

1 Month

9.32

decreased by 1.17

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 235 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1195
8.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0552
12.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9419
204.89***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0011
-0.88

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

235 days