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Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

8.64

decreased by 0.23

1 Week

9.35

increased by 0.48

1 Month

9.32

increased by 0.45

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 1999 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 236 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1174
8.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0553
12.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9417
204.81***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0012
-0.96

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

236 days