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V-Lab

News Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

125.91

decreased by 3.58

1 Week

127.32

decreased by 2.17

1 Month

143.73

increased by 14.24

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of News Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2013 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 45 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3731
13.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0596
7.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9250
91.65***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0251
-7.49***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days