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V-Lab

News Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

150.13

decreased by 10.03

1 Week

156.59

decreased by 3.57

1 Month

139.03

decreased by 21.13

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of News Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 45 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3724
13.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0601
7.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9247
91.63***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0250
-7.39***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days