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Caterpillar Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

8.66

increased by 0.13

1 Week

8.67

increased by 0.14

1 Month

9.05

increased by 0.52

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Caterpillar Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0505
32.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9453
999.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0505
-10.23***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0020
221.67***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.04
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9991
3,409.97***

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

23 days