V-Lab
Crescent Energy Co ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
455.98
1 Week
454.50
1 Month
441.16
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 4, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1440 | 6.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8601 | 321.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0765 | -1.76* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.8175 | 13.96*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9951 | 714.38*** |
Persistence:
0.966
Half-life:
20 days
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