V-Lab
American Resources Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
7,100.68
increased by 155.18
1 Week
6,337.51
decreased by 607.99
1 Month
6,894.94
decreased by 50.56
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 20, 2017 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1011 trading days (~4.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 128% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.26 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0909 | 10.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8501 | 223.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1167 | 8.12*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1011 days
Other American Resources Corp Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities