Skip to main content
V-Lab

American Resources Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

10,803.05

increased by 213.39

1 Week

10,553.87

decreased by 35.79

1 Month

9,804.39

decreased by 785.27

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of American Resources Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 2017 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 924 trading days (~3.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 131% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.25
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0894
10.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8512
221.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1172
8.10***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

924 days