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American Resources Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

28,966.47

increased by 3,281.63

1 Week

21,383.41

decreased by 4,301.43

1 Month

14,802.65

decreased by 10,882.19

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:13 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of American Resources Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 2017 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 231049 trading days (~916.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~231049 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.4244
0.03
αARCH0.1506
0.01
βGARCH0.8494
0.06
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0147
0.00

1.000

Persistence

231049d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4244
0.03
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1506
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8494
0.06
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0147
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

231049 days