V-Lab
American Resources Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
10,052.33
decreased by 244.16
1 Week
9,631.58
decreased by 664.91
1 Month
8,222.96
decreased by 2,073.53
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 20, 2017 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 173286 trading days (~687.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.2266 | 0.10 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1488 | 0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8512 | 0.17 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0595 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
173286 days
Other American Resources Corp Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities