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American Resources Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026

1 Day

6,490.32

decreased by 144.20

1 Week

6,519.73

decreased by 114.79

1 Month

7,515.79

increased by 881.27

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of American Resources Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 2017 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 913 trading days (~3.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.3207
2.15**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1681
9.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8311
43.78***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.9227
-1.03
γ22.4318
1.78*
γ3-2.4386
-2.65***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

913 days