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American Resources Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

10,052.33

decreased by 244.16

1 Week

9,631.58

decreased by 664.91

1 Month

8,222.96

decreased by 2,073.53

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of American Resources Corp ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 20, 2017 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 173286 trading days (~687.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2266
0.10
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1488
0.03
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8512
0.17
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0595
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

173286 days