V-Lab
Hyperscale Data Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
25,036.19
1 Week
28,999.30
1 Month
17,013.50
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 17, 1996 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 55% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.16 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1378 | 9.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8245 | 127.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0754 | 3.61*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
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