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RTX Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

13.51

increased by 0.21

1 Week

11.94

decreased by 1.36

1 Month

11.72

decreased by 1.58

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RTX Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 169% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0643
7.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0249
21.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9541
1,080.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0420
24.22***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days