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RTX Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

13.43

decreased by 0.22

1 Week

13.64

decreased by 0.01

1 Month

14.27

increased by 0.62

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RTX Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 169% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0639
7.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0248
20.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9542
1,080.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0419
24.05***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days